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Here’s a system Barrie came up with (apologies if anyone discovered it before, we never noticed).
The dreaded penalty shootout. At 🏧 the end of, you are always guaranteed 1 team will win and 1 team will lose. Always guaranteed. But for 🏧 1 team to lose, at least 1 player has to miss a penalty. Ideally in the first 2 kicks for 🏧 this system, but it doesn’t have to be that way at all.
How It Works
As long as your bookmaker allows you 🏧 to bet on the upcoming penalty each time, this system has no flaws (please let me know if you want 🏧 to debate that). As long as the scores are still level in the shootout, I put the same amount on 🏧 each team to miss their next spot kick (odds are generally 12/5 or 5/2), and that goes up a few 🏧 £ each time both penalties are converted. I imagine if the first 10 spot kicks are converted it’s squeaky bum 🏧 time, but I haven’t experienced that yet.
An example:
A dull FA Cup semi final match between Manchester United and Everton in 🏧 April 2009 ended 0-0 after extra time. In goal for Manchester United was their Carling Cup final penalty hero Ben 🏧 Foster, and for Everton was Tom Howard, a saver of many spot kicks in his time. United had a young 🏧 and reserve team out, whilst Everton had no players on the pitch who’d scored a penalty all season. Both teams 🏧 were 5/2 to miss their 1st penalties, so I stuck £100 on each of these. I had a large smile 🏧 on my face when Tim Cahill skied the opening penalty, guaranteeing me at least £150 profit. But I was in 🏧 heaven when Dimitar Berbatov’s tame penalty was easily saved by Howard in the Everton goal.
That’s £500 profit! With the score 🏧 still level, I cleared the profit from my head, pretended to be at £0 and put the same amount on 🏧 both team’s missing their next spot kicks. When Leighton Baines scored Everton’s 2nd attempt, I was down £100 in my 🏧 head. But Tim Howard came to my rescue again, saving from Rio Ferdinand and there was another £250, up £150 🏧 on the second round of kicks and up £650 from the shootout. As the scores were uneven for the rest 🏧 of the shootout, no more money should go on.
This is an example of value betting. People expect the majority of 🏧 spot kicks to be scored, which is nearly always the case, and the odds for each player to score are 🏧 poor (around 1/3). So you’re better off backing the players to miss, in the way I have demonstrated, to make 🏧 a big profit. Basically, it’s a more successful and profitable way of arbing! Now I’m backing those crazy disillusionists who 🏧 want penalty shootouts at the end of each Premier League game!
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